The Iowa Factor

3 01 2008

Love him or hate him, James Carville is always excellent for a good quote. He said once, “It’s hard for somebody to hit you when you’ve got your fist in their face.”

Iowans head to the polls today. It could be instrumental is determining who will be the nominees on the democratic and republican tickets. Or not.

But needless to say, there has been a barrage of negative ads, which is not new.  The thing I’ve found surprising, actually is a two-fold issue.

MSM had allowed a lot of the drama to play out on the news stage which doesn’t cost a candidate a dime. Remember, 40 million dollars has been spent there, but the whole Mike Huckabee “free” ad due to a press conference sort of changed the game, at least for a few days. Of course, he appeared on the The Tonight Show Show last night with Leno. Watching Huckabee is interesting to me, because he’s bending, although not breaking, some of the rules, but of course, that’s just my opinion. Or is he just using things available that the other candidates forgot about? His recent actions aren’t new. And if it works for him, he’ll continue to do it.

Whatever. I’m not digging Huckabee but I do enjoy watching him and Ron Paul.  Huckabee may have been guffawed at when he showed his negative ad to reporters, but will voters feel like he’s doing something noble with his vow to “not get negative?” Should be interesting.

Iowa is the first big “dance.” I’ve also always thought is that not only is the caucus about winning the hearts and minds of voters, but of the national political press corp. I’m not saying that’s right or wrong, but it’s reality.

The field is crowded. Iowa starts weeding things out. Things will most likely start changing in the next two months.

And will the negative come out. Well, it already has now, hasn’t it?

Of course, I’m stating the obvious.



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